Miami vs. Florida State prediction, pick, odds, spread: Red-hot Hurricanes take on floundering Seminoles

One of college football's great rivalries takes center stage on Saturday night when No. 3 Miami welcomes Florida State for their traditional October clash. As usual, the game has ACC and national title race implications, though this season those conversations are focused far more on Miami, which finished last season as the national runner-up and is currently the heavy favorite to win the ACC in 2026. Things are far different for Florida State and embattled coach Mike Norvell, who entered the year facing serious job pressure and now risks falling to 3-4 on the season and 1-3 in ACC play if the Seminoles cannot pull a stunning upset.

Wins against Miami in 2021, 2022 and 2023 were crucial building blocks of Norvell's eventual ACC Championship run, but now it's Mario Cristobal who has the chance to string together three straight wins in the series after the Hurricanes got the better of Florida State in 2024 and 2025. The return to Miami Gardens also spotlights what has become a notable home-field advantage for Miami in this recent run, as the Hurricanes are 15-1 at home since the start of the 2024 season, including that 36-14 win against the Seminoles in Hard Rock Stadium two years ago. Miami has been absolute rock stars in the ACC and the sport as a whole,