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Remnants of Dolly Public Advisory Number 5

One Place News — Fri, 28 Aug 2026 22:10:48 +0000

Issued at 1100 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026

000
WTNT34 KNHC 281445
TCPAT4
 
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Dolly Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042026
1100 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026
 
...DOLLY IS NOW AN OPEN TROPICAL WAVE...
...INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THE REMNANTS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 46.9W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
the remnants of Dolly.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the remnants of Dolly were located near
latitude 15.0 North, longitude 46.9 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west near 25 mph (41 km/h) and this motion is expected 
to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, 
the remnants should be nearing the Leeward Islands Saturday night 
and Sunday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher 
gusts. The winds associated with the remnants of Dolly are expected 
to decrease below tropical-storm force on Saturday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) 
to the north of the remnants of the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for the remnants of Dolly can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header
WTNT44 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL: Heavy rain from the remnants of Dolly could affect the
Leeward Islands late Saturday into Sunday, with rainfall moving into
the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday.
This heavy rain may produce flash flooding within areas of higher
terrain of the Leeward Islands.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Remnants of Dolly Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

One Place News — Fri, 28 Aug 2026 22:10:47 +0000

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026

000
FONT14 KNHC 281445
PWSAT4
                                                                    
REMNANTS OF DOLLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042026               
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF DOLLY WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH
...LONGITUDE 46.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40
MPH...65 KM/H.                                                      
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN

Remnants of Dolly Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

One Place News — Fri, 28 Aug 2026 22:10:47 +0000

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026

000
FONT14 KNHC 281445
PWSAT4
                                                                    
REMNANTS OF DOLLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042026               
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF DOLLY WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH
...LONGITUDE 46.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40
MPH...65 KM/H.                                                      
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN

Remnants of Dolly Forecast Discussion Number 5

One Place News — Fri, 28 Aug 2026 22:10:45 +0000

Issued at 1100 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026

000
WTNT44 KNHC 281446
TCDAT4
 
Remnants Of Dolly Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042026
1100 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026

During the past few hours, the center of Dolly passed just north of 
NOAA buoy 41041, which did not observe any westerly winds. 
Examination of high-resolution satellite imagery also does not 
readily indicate any westerly winds south of the center.  Based on 
this, Dolly has become an open tropical wave, with the initial and 
forecast positions being that of the vorticity maximum. The initial 
intensity remains 35 kt, with those winds occurring north of the 
vorticity center.

The system is moving 280/22 kt, and this motion should continue for 
the next 24 h.  After that time, a general westward to west- 
northwestward motion with a slight decrease in forward speed should 
take the remnants of Dolly near the Leeward Island Saturday night or 
Sunday, and near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands by Sunday 
afternoon or Sunday night. A continued west-northwestward motion is 
expected after that, with the remnants moving through the Greater 
Antilles or the Bahamas during the early part of next week.

The system is currently in a hostile environment with significant 
southwesterly shear and dry air. These conditions should continue 
for at least the next 2-3 days, and the remnants should slowly 
weaken during this time. The official forecast shows 24 h of points 
where the maximum winds are at tropical-storm force and there is a 
well-defined vorticity center. After that, the winds are expected to 
decrease below 35 kt, and the system center is expected to become 
less well-defined. Some global models hint at the possibility that 
Dolly could regenerate in several days, but at this time there is 
poor agreement on where and when this might occur. Should conditions 
warrant, further information regarding the potential redevelopment 
of the remnants of Dolly will be provided in subsequent Tropical 
Weather Outlooks.

This is the last advisory on Dolly issued by the National Hurricane 
Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High 
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS 
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1. Heavy rains from the remnants of Dolly could affect the Leeward 
Islands late Saturday into Sunday with possible impacts in the 
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday.  This 
heavy rain may produce flash flooding within areas of higher terrain 
of the Leeward Islands.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  28/1500Z 15.0N  46.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  29/0000Z 15.6N  50.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 24H  29/1200Z 16.4N  54.7W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 36H  30/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Remnants of Dolly Forecast Discussion Number 5

One Place News — Fri, 28 Aug 2026 22:10:45 +0000

Issued at 1100 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026

000
WTNT44 KNHC 281446
TCDAT4
 
Remnants Of Dolly Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042026
1100 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026

During the past few hours, the center of Dolly passed just north of 
NOAA buoy 41041, which did not observe any westerly winds. 
Examination of high-resolution satellite imagery also does not 
readily indicate any westerly winds south of the center.  Based on 
this, Dolly has become an open tropical wave, with the initial and 
forecast positions being that of the vorticity maximum. The initial 
intensity remains 35 kt, with those winds occurring north of the 
vorticity center.

The system is moving 280/22 kt, and this motion should continue for 
the next 24 h.  After that time, a general westward to west- 
northwestward motion with a slight decrease in forward speed should 
take the remnants of Dolly near the Leeward Island Saturday night or 
Sunday, and near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands by Sunday 
afternoon or Sunday night. A continued west-northwestward motion is 
expected after that, with the remnants moving through the Greater 
Antilles or the Bahamas during the early part of next week.

The system is currently in a hostile environment with significant 
southwesterly shear and dry air. These conditions should continue 
for at least the next 2-3 days, and the remnants should slowly 
weaken during this time. The official forecast shows 24 h of points 
where the maximum winds are at tropical-storm force and there is a 
well-defined vorticity center. After that, the winds are expected to 
decrease below 35 kt, and the system center is expected to become 
less well-defined. Some global models hint at the possibility that 
Dolly could regenerate in several days, but at this time there is 
poor agreement on where and when this might occur. Should conditions 
warrant, further information regarding the potential redevelopment 
of the remnants of Dolly will be provided in subsequent Tropical 
Weather Outlooks.

This is the last advisory on Dolly issued by the National Hurricane 
Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High 
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS 
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1. Heavy rains from the remnants of Dolly could affect the Leeward 
Islands late Saturday into Sunday with possible impacts in the 
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday.  This 
heavy rain may produce flash flooding within areas of higher terrain 
of the Leeward Islands.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  28/1500Z 15.0N  46.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  29/0000Z 15.6N  50.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 24H  29/1200Z 16.4N  54.7W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 36H  30/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Remnants of Dolly Graphics

One Place News — Fri, 28 Aug 2026 22:10:42 +0000

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 28 Aug 2026 15:22:19 GMT

Remnants of Bertha Public Advisory Number 19

One Place News — Fri, 24 Jul 2026 05:19:35 +0000

Issued at 1000 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

000
WTNT32 KNHC 240233
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Bertha Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022026
1000 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
 
...BERTHA HAS DEGENERATED INTO A TROUGH...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.0N 96.0W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM WNW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Bertha were located near
latitude 30.0 North, longitude 96.0 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is 
expected to continue tonight.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
  
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE:  Water levels may remain elevated through the next
high tide cycle along the Louisiana and Texas coastline but should
subside thereafter.
 
RAINFALL: The remnants of Bertha are expected to produce total 
rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with isolated totals to 4 inches 
tonight over South Texas.  This rainfall may produce isolated flash 
flooding, especially in urban areas.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with 
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.
 
SURF: Swells generated by the remnants of Bertha will continue to
affect the Louisiana and Texas coast through tonight.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch

Remnants of Bertha Graphics

One Place News — Fri, 24 Jul 2026 04:22:01 +0000

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 24 Jul 2026 03:22:45 GMT

Remnants of Bertha Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

One Place News — Fri, 24 Jul 2026 03:20:21 +0000

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

000
FONT12 KNHC 240234
PWSAT2
                                                                    
REMNANTS OF BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022026               
0300 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF BERTHA WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.0     
NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS
...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                                                
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
 
...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME...
AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED...
 
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH

Remnants of Bertha Forecast Discussion Number 19

One Place News — Fri, 24 Jul 2026 03:20:19 +0000

Issued at 1000 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

000
WTNT42 KNHC 240235
TCDAT2
 
Remnants Of Bertha Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022026
1000 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Surface observations over eastern Texas indicate that Bertha no 
longer has a well-defined circulation, and has opened up into a 
trough.  Therefore, the system has dissipated, and this will be the 
last advisory.

Bertha's remnants will likely continue to produce some locally heavy 
rainfall over portions of eastern and southern Texas, where isolated 
flash flooding is possible overnight.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  24/0300Z 30.0N  96.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  24/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch