Gustavo de Arístegui: Geopolitical Analysis for 21 September – Atalayar

Gustavo de Arístegui: Geopolitical Analysis for 21 September  Atalayar

Introduction Key assessments The threat matrix: three revisionists, three doctrines Grey-zone and hybrid warfare Disinformation and cyber warfare Critical infrastructure and electromagnetic pulse threats The «day after» and strategic denial in Europe The Reuters investigation: the operational speed deficit Emerging European systems and the Iranian theatre as a laboratory Arsenals, budgets, and strategic resolve Media review Editorial commentary Introduction This Monday's analysis is a comprehensive strategic assessment. It takes as its point of departure the operational question posed by Reuters correspondents Daniel Flynn, Max Hunder, and Olena Harmash from Kyiv on 17 September: is NATO prepared for the next war it may have to fight? Key news developments from the past forty-eight hours are cross-referenced within the Media review and Strategic risk index.

Europe—both the European Union (EU) and the European members of the Atlantic Alliance—frequently produces accurate strategic diagnoses, yet rarely adopts the operational countermeasures necessary to protect itself and, above all, preempt a new generation of aggression that wears no uniforms, issues no formal declarations, and discards the traditional boundary separating war from peace. Gustavo de Arístegui: Geopolitical analysis of 18 September Gustavo de Arístegui: Geopolitical analysis of 17 September Recent events illustrate this dilemma clearly. On Saturday 19 September, the Houthi terrorist movement, operating as an armed proxy of Tehran's oligarchical-theocratic apparatus, fired a ballistic missile directly