Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky prediction, odds, time: Week 6 CFB Thursday picks by proven model

SportsLine’s model revealed its best bets for the Thursday Conference USA matchup featuring Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky

The Missouri State Bears open Conference USA play when they battle the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Thursday night on CBS Sports Network. Missouri State is coming off a 34-24 loss at SMU on Sept. 26, while Western Kentucky dropped a 34-13 decision at New Mexico State on Oct. 1. The Bears (1-3, 0-0 C-USA), who have lost two in a row, are 0-2 on the road this season. The Hilltoppers (1-4, 0-1 C-USA), who have been outscored 198-99 on the year, are 1-0 on their home field in 2026. Western Kentucky leads the all-time series 9-2, including nine straight wins in the series. Visit our Kalshi promo code review and get a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55: Kickoff is set for 7 p.m.

ET at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Ky. The Bears are 1.5-point favorites, with the over/under at 56.5 in the latest Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky odds. Both squads have two against-the-spread victories this season. Before making any Western Kentucky vs. Missouri State picks, check out the Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. Claim the latest Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS to get a $25 bonus after depositing $10: After simulating Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky 10,000 times, SportsLine model is going Over 56.5 points