SPC MD 2282

MD 2282 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF THE MID-SOUTH


Mesoscale Discussion 2282
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0324 PM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

Areas affected...Parts of the Mid-South

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 112024Z - 112300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should gradually increase in coverage
through the remainder of the afternoon into this evening. The
strongest storms will be capable of producing a few locally damaging
wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...Preceding a convectively augmented midlevel trough
moving slowly eastward across the Ozarks, isolated thunderstorms are
evolving along a north/south-oriented composite outflow/stationary
boundary in far eastern AR. Ahead of this activity, continued
diurnal heating amid lower 70s dewpoints will further destabilize
the pre-convective air mass, though overall buoyancy will be limited
by poor midlevel lapse rates. Nevertheless, the relatively focused
area of forcing for ascent and weakly veering wind profile
accompanying/trailing a remnant MCV could promote a few strong
storms over the next few hours. The primary concern will be locally
damaging wind gusts with any loosely organized clusters that develop
through this evening.

..Weinman/Guyer.. 09/11/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35329051 35779018 36328990 36708955 36858914 36868881
            36608823 36198803 35648814 34498889 34058943 34039006
            34269046 34469072 34729077 35329051 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

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    MD 2281 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 2281 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Fri Sep 11…

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